CIMMS Researchers Present at AMS 98th Annual Meeting

Several researchers with The University of Oklahoma Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies are scheduled to present at the American Meteorological Society 98th Annual Meeting.

The conference is in Austin, Texas, from Jan. 7-11.

CIMMS presenters are scheduled Monday through Thursday, presenting posters, papers and more.

For the full AMS schedule, see the program. Abstract and papers name may differ from what is published below. A CIMMS specific schedule involving CIMMS research is as follows:

Monday, Jan. 8

• At 8:45-9 a.m.: 1.1: Real-Time and Climatological Storm Classification Using Machine Learning with Eli Jergensen, Chris Karstens, Holy Obermeier and Travis Smith.
• 9-9:15 a.m.: 1.2: Real-Time and Climatological Storm Classification Using Support Vector Machines with Eli Jergensen, Chris Karstens, Holy Obermeir and Travis Smith.
• 9:45-10 a.m.: 1.5: On the Interpolation of Three-dimensional Radar Observations to Flight Levels with Heather Reeves.
• 10:30 a.m.-Noon: 2.2: Developing New Methods in Winter Weather Warning Education in the NWS with Stephen Mullens, Alyssa Bates, Matthew Sienkiewicz and Christopher Spannagle.
• 11:15-11:30 a.m.: 2B.4: Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) QPE Products Update – 2016/2017 with Lin Tang, Steven Martinaitis, Youcun Qi, Stephen Cocks, Carrie Langston, Brian Kaney and Karen Cooper.
• 11:30-11:45 a.m: 3.5: From Storm Prediction Center.Science Support Branch Import Science, Research, Operations with Race Clark, James Correia, Caleb Grunzke, Robert Hepper, Nicholas Nauslar and Nathan Wendt.
• 2-2:15 p.m.: 3.1:  Using Machine Learning to Forecast Severe Thunderstorm Winds on a CONUS-wide Grid with Ryan Lagerquist and Travis Smith.
• 2:30-2:45 p.m.: 3.3: A New Low-Cost Sensor for Determining Heat and Moisture Fluxes with Temple Lee.
• 3-3:15 p.m.:  3B.5: Inter-model Storm-scale Comparisons from the 2017 HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment with Corey Potvin.
• 3:30-3:45 p.m.: J17.2: Results from GOES-R and JPSS Proving Ground Demonstrations at the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2017 Summer Experiment with Michael Bowlan.
• 3:45-4 p.m.: 4.3: Developing and Testing Watch-Scale Forecast Products in the FACETs Paradigm with Makenzie Krocak.
• 4-4:15 p.m.: 3.9: Diagnosing Total Lightning Potential with Differential Reflectivity Anomalies with Kristin Calhoun.
• 4:15-6 p.m.: Test of a Hybrid 3DEnVAR and WRF-DART Analysis and Forecast System During the HWT Spring Experiments in 2017 with Yunheng Wang, Patrick Skinner, Dustan Wheatley, Jessica Choate, Thomas Jones and Gerry Creager.
• From 4:15-6 p.m.:
  •  Current Advancements and Future Direction of Gauge Ingest and Quality Control in the MRMS System with Steven Martinaitis, Carrie Langston, Youcun Qi and Stephen Cocks.
  •  MRMS Precipitation Estimates Using Specific Attenuation with Stephen Cocks, Lin Tang, Yadong Wang, Pengfei Zhang and  Alexander Ryzhkov.
  •  Assessment of Dual-Polarized Radar Coverage in the Terminal Airspaces of Commercial Airports with Jacqueline Waters, Heather Reeves and Alicia Keys.
  •  An Evaluation of Changes to the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles (NEWS-e) in Spring 2017 Dustan Wheatley and Kent Knopfmeier.
  •  Advancing Precipitation Estimation in Data Sparse Regions – The MRMS Multi-Sensor QPE Product with Steven Martinaitis, Carrie Langston and Youcun Qi.
  •  Gap-Filling Radar Observations of a Snow Squall at San Luis Valley Regional Airport  with Andrew Rosenow and José Meitín.
  •  Contaminated Precipitation Radar Echo Identification, Removing and Filling Using Polarimetric and Environmental Data in the MRMS Operational System with Youcun Qi and Lin Tang.
  • Improving Multisensor Estimation of Heavy-to-Extreme Precipitation via Conditional Bias-Penalized Optimal Estimation and Lin Tang.
  • Collaborative Digital Aviation Grid Process at the Aviation Weather Testbed and Operations Proving Ground with Katie Crandall Vigil
  •  388: Operational Use of Experimental Warn-on-Forecast Guidance Prior to the 16 May 2017 Elk City, Oklahoma Tornado with Gabriel Garfield, Jessica Choate and Patrick Skinner.

Tuesday, Jan. 9

• 8:45-9 .am.: 4.2: What’s a Corridor, and Where Exactly is the Metro Area? Using Regional Geography to Enhance Hazardous Weather Communication with Kimberly Klockow and Randy Peppler.
• 9-9:15 a.m.:  4.3: Operational Strengths and Challenges for the New Dual Pol MRMS QPE on a Real-time System with Stephen Cocks, Lin Tang, Yadon Wang, Alexander Ryzhkov and Pengfei Zhang.
• 9-9:15 a.m.: TJ1.3: Incorporating Time of UH Occurrence in the Generation of Ensemble-Derived Tornado Probabilities with Burkely Gallo and Scott Dembek.
• 9:15-9:30 a.m.: 5.4: Using Random Forests to Assess Environmental Modulation of Mesocyclone Intensity in the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System for Ensembles  with Patrick Skinner, Corey Potvin, Dustan Wheatley and Kent Knopfmeier.
• 10:45-11 a.m.:5A.2: A Difference in the Details: Assessing the Impact of Region on Tornado Threat Awareness and Knowledge with Makenzie Krocak.
• 10:45-11 a.m.:  4.2: Observational Studies of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions Along the North Slope of Alaska (Invited Presentation) with Greg McFarquhar.
• 10:45-11 a.m.: 5.2: A Community Effort for Convection Allowing Mode (CAM) Scorecarding with Patrick Skinner.
• 11-11:15 a.m.: 6.3: FACETs – The 2017 / 2018 Hazard Services — Probabilistic Hazard Information (HS-PHI) Experiments at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed with Greg Stumpf, Alyssa Bates and Tiffany Meyer.
• 11-11:15 a.m.: 5A.3: Biases and Heuristics in Warning Response with Kim Klockow.
• 11:15-11:30 a.m.:  J25.4: Workshops on GOES-16 Data for National Weather Service SOOs and DOHs with Michael Bowlan.
• At 11:30-11:45 a.m.:
  •  2.5: An Overview of the NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center’s Integrated Machine-based Predictive Analytics for Convective Threats to Society (IMPACTS) Statistical Model with Race Clark.
  • 5.5: Development of an Autonomous Uav Atmospheric Profiling System: Initial Implementation and First Results with Mark Weber.
  • 11B.5: Monitoring Radar Calibration Using Ground Clutter with Valery Melnikov.
  • 5.5: Modeling and Correcting Reporting Biases in the SPC Tornado Database with Corey Potvin and Patrick Skinner.
  • 2.5: Examining Common Features of the Low-Level Jet During PECAN with Elizabeth Smith.
• 11:45-Noon: 2.6: The Great Plains Low-Level Jet During PECAN: Observed and Simulated Characteristics with Elizabeth Smith.
• 11:45-noon: 5.6: An Evaluation of Ensembles Available Within the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) During the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) with Patrick Skinner.
• 1:30-3:45 p.m. –  Joint Panel Discussion 3: Communicating Uncertainty: Progress and Outstanding Challenges in the NOAA Testbeds with Kimberly Klockow, Kristin Calhoun, Holly Obermeier and Tiffany Meyer.
  • Including 1:30-1:45 JPD3.1: Communicating Uncertainty: Progress and Outstanding Challenges in the NOAA Testbeds
• 1:45-2 p.m.: 7.2: Creation and Evaluation of Calibrated Tornado Intensity Guidance using the Significant Tornado Parameter with Caleb Grunzke.
• 1:45-2 p.m.: J30.2: High Impact Weather Forecasts using a Prototype Warn-on-Forecast System with Nusrat Yussouf and Thomas Jones.
• 2:215 p.m.:  7.3: The O2R-R2O Effort to Improve Tornado Forecasting at NSSL and SPC Using Calibrated CAM Ensemble Guidance with Burkely Gallo and Scott Dembek.
• 2-2:15 p.m.: 7.3: An Integrated Scenario-based Evacuation Framework: the Coupling of Meteorological-Hydrological-Hydrodynamic Models to an Evacuation Model with  Humberto Vergara.
• 2:15-2:30: 3.4: Glimpse into the future of IDSS with Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) for tornadoes with James Correia and Chris Karstens.
• 2:15-2:30 p.m.: 7.4: Using High Resolution Ensemble Precipitation Data to Develop New Probabilistic Hazard Information at the Weather Prediction Center with Humberto Vergara.
• 2:45-3 p.m.:3.6: Analysis of PECAN 2015 MCSs Utilizing Airborne- and Ground-Based Doppler Observations and Airborne In-Situ Microphysical Data with  Greg McFarquhar and Terry Schuur.
• 3-3:15 p.m.: 3.7: Structure and Dynamics of an Intense Rear-inflow Jet Observed on 20 June 2015 during PECAN with Greg McFarquhar.
• 3:15-3:30 p.m.: 6.3: Polarimetric radar convective cell tracking reveals large sensitivity of cloud precipitation and electrification properties to CCN with Pengfei Zhang and Alexander Ryzhkov.
• 3:30-3:45: 4.4: Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Probabilities and Warnings within an Integrated Warning Team with Kristin Calhoun, Tiffany Meyer, Kodi Berry, Holly Obermeier and Kimberly Klockow.
• From 3:45-5:30 p.m.:
  • Fatality and Damage Predictions from Potential Tornado Outbreaks As Simulated by the SPC IMPACTS Statistical Model with Race Clark.
  • The Storm Prediction Center’s Weather Generator with Race Clark.
  • An East Coast Winter Storm Climatology and Projected Future Trends with Elizabeth DiGangi.
  • Supercell Predictability: Exploring Ensemble Sensitivity to Initial Condition Spread with Montgomery Flora, Corey Potvin, Dustan Wheatley and Patrick Skinner.
  • Creation and Evaluation of Calibrated SSCRAM-HRRR Severe Hazard Guidance with Caleb Grunzke.
  • ARM Data Quality Office: Fusion of Automated and Manual QA/QC Techniques with Adam Theisen, Randy Peppler, Kenneth Kehoe, Justin Monroe and Josh King.
  • Examining the Utility of Twitter Hail Reports to Verify Spatiotemporally Dense Forecasts with Makenzie Krocak.
  • Considerations for Phased-Array Radar Data Use within the National Weather Service with Katie Wilson and Charles Kuster.
  • Kinematic Observations from the RiVorS Field Project with Matthew Mahalik, Matthew Flournoy and Erik Rasmussen.
  •  A Polarimetric and Microphysical Analysis of the Stratiform Rain Region of MCSs with Amanda Murphy, Alexander Ryzhkov, Pengfei Zhang and Greg McFarquhar.
  • Exploring the Limitations of Impact-Based Decision Support Services Based on Remote-Sensing Using High-Resolution Hail Reports with Kiel Ortega.
  • Fine-scale Assessment of Mobile Home Tornado Exposure in the Southeast U.S. with Kimberly Klockow.
  • Accounting for rainfall spatial variability in the prediction of flash floods with Humberto Vergara.
  • Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis of Controls on Storm-scale Vertical Vorticity for Two Southeastern U.S. Tornado Events with Nusrat Yussouf.

Wednesday, Jan. 10

• 8:45-9 a.m.: 7.2: Expanding the NWS Hazard Simplification Project: An Exploration of Non-Precipitation Products with Kimberly Klockow.
• 10:45-11 a.m.: 8.2: Using the Case Walk Through Method to Elucidate the Interplay of Forecaster and Emergency Manager Decision Making Under an Experimental Warning Paradigm with James Correia, Chris Karstens and Tiffany Meyer.
• 11-11:15 a.m.: 7.3: Communications in the Eye of the Storm: Understanding NWS Decision Support Decisions with Kimberly Klockow
• 11:15-11:30 a.m.: 9.4: An Overview of the 2017 Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed with Tiffany Meyer, Kodi Berry, Michael Bowlan, Kristin Calhoun, James Correia,  Gabriel Garfield, Chris Karstens, Darrel Kingfield, Holly Obermeier and Greg Stumpf.
• 11:15-11:30 a.m: 8.4: Broadcast Meteorologist Decision Making in the 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Project with Holly Obermeier, Kodi Nemunaitis-Berry and Kimberly Klockow.
• 11:30-11:45 a.m.: 8.5: Development and Evaluation of Cloud-Based Weather Event Simulation Capabilities with Dale Morris, Alex Zwink, Thao Pham and Eric Jacobsen.
• 11:45 a.m.-Noon: 9.6: Research-to-Operations Efforts in Support of FACETs: Results from the Initial Phase and a Look Ahead with Kodi Berry and Kim Klockow.
• 11:45-Noon: J40.6: Estimating the Risk of Flood Severity over the United States with Humberto Vergara and Jessica Erlingis.
• 1:30-1:45 p.m.: J44.1: Using Machine Learning to Predict Storm Longevity in Real-Time with Chris Karstens, David Harrison and Travis Smith.
• 1:45-2 p.m.: 9.2: Observed Characteristics of Tropopause Polar Vortices over Summit Station, Greenland and Sarah Borg and Steven Cavallo.
• 2:45-3 p.m.: TJ8.5: Relevance of Climate Variability to Indigenous Agriculturalists in Oklahoma as part of Themed Join Session 8: From Vulnerable to Resilient: Leveraging the Role of Communication with Randy Peppler.
• 3-3:15 p.m.: 4.2: Impact of the Assimilation of Hyperspectral Infrared Radiances into the High-resolution WoF GSI-EnKF System with Swapan Mallick and Thomas Jones.
• 3:15-3:30 p.m.: 9.8: Correcting Storm Displacement Errors in Ensembles Using the Feature Alignment Technique (FAT) with Derek Stratman and Corey Potvin.
• 3:15-3:30 p.m.: 9.3: Evaluation of RGB Composite Imagery for the GOES-R Era by National Weather Service Forecasters with Color Vision Deficiency with Katie Crandall Vigil.
• 3:30-3:45 p.m.: 10.9: Preparing for FACETs: Future Warning Decision-Making Training Impacts from the 2017 Hazard Services–Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed with Alyssa Bates, Greg Stumpf and Tiffany Meyer.
• From 3:45-5:30 p.m.:
  • Comparing Observations and Simulations of the Streamwise Vorticity Current in Tornadic and Non-Tornadic Supercell Storms and Erik Rasmussen, Anthony Reinhart, Kiel Ortega, Don Burgess and Edward Mansell.
  • First Demonstration of the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System as part of the 2017 Spring Experiment with Jessica Choate, Adam Clark and Patrick Skinner.
  • Improved Short-term Probabilistic Forecasts of High Impact Weather using a Convective-scale Ensemble Data Assimilation and Forecast System with Nusrat Yussouf, Thomas Jones and Junjun Hu.
  • Assimilation of GOES-13 imager clear-sky water vapor (6.5 mm) radiances into a Warn-on-Forecast system with Thomas Jones and Patrick Skinner.
  • Assessing Detection and Estimates of Low-Level Supercell Horizontal Vorticity Diagnosed from Doppler Radar Data: Simulation Study with Corey Potvin.
  • Discussion of Recent Cyclical Temperature Trends Detected in the United States with Adam Theisen.

Thursday, Jan. 11

• 8:30-8:45 a.m.: 10.1: NOAA’s Spectrum Efficient National Surveillance Radar (SENSR) Research Program with Mark Weber.
• 9-9:15 a.m.: 10.2: Observations of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions with Varying Vertical Separation between Biomass-Burning Aerosols and Stratocumulus Clouds over the South East Atlantic with Greg McFarquhar.
• 9-9:15 a.m.: 10.3: Sensitivity of Calibration Parameters for Polarimetric Phased Array Weather Radar with Djordje Mirkovic.
• 10:30-10:45 a.m.: 12B.1: Multiple Radar/Multiple Sensor (MRMS) System: Current and Future Role in the Community Analysis and Nowcast Framework with Travis Smith.
• 11:15-11:30 a.m.: 11.4: The Role of Surface Heterogeneities on Low-Level Vorticity Production and Boundary Layer Characteristics during VORTEX-SE with Michael Buban and Temple Lee.
• 1:30-3 p.m.: 13A: Testbeds, Models and Data Assimilation to Enable and Accelerate the Transition of Research-to-Operations to End-users and to the Public in Weather, Water or Climate Applications -Part III with Kristin Calhoun.
• 1:30-1:45 p.m.: 12.1: Mobile observations of near surface vorticity features north of the supercell updraft with Kiel Ortega, Anthony Reinhart, Erik Rasmussen, Don Burgess and Edward Mansell.
• 1:30-1:45 p.m.: 13A.1: Automated Severe Thunderstorm Guidance from the NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere Model within the Hazardous Weather Testbed with Kristin Calhoun.
• 1:30-1:45 p.m.: 12.1: Evaluation of NOAA/NSSL Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor radar echo top heights with the GPM dual-frequency radar with Heather Reeves.
• 1:30-1:45 p.m.: 11.1: An Impact-Based Decision Support Paradigm for National Weather Service Wildfire Forecast and Warning Services with Nicholas Nauslar.
• 1:45-2 p.m.: 12.2: The Rivers of Vorticity in Supercells (RiVorS) Field Project with Erik Rasmussen, Don Burgess, Matt Flournoy, Matt Mahalik and Edward Mansell.
• 1:45-2 p.m.: 13A.2: Integration of Automated Severe Weather Probabilistic Guidance within NWS Warnings in the Hazardous Weather Testbed with Kristin Calhoun and Greg Stumpf.
• 1:45-2 p.m.: 12.2: Using Simulated Radar Data to Determine the Effects of Volume Coverage Patterns on MRMS Products with Anthony Reinhart, Kiel Ortega and Travis Smith.
• 2:15-2:30 p.m.: 13A.4: The Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble in the 2017 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment with Scott Dembek, Robert Hepper, Gerry Creager, Burkley Galloand Brett Roberts.
• 2:30-2:45 p.m.: 12.5: High Resolution Forecasting and Observation System Experiments in the CASA Dallas-Fort Worth Urban Testbed and Andrew Osborne.
• 2:45-3 p.m.: 11.6: Impact-based predictions of human risk to flash flood across the United States with Ami Arthur.
• 2:45-3 p.m.: 6A.6: NUCAPS in AWIPS – rethinking information compression and distribution for fast decision making with Michael Bowlan.
• 2:45-3 p.m.: 12.6: Utilizing the Divergent Component of Doppler Velocity Shear to Examine Tornadic Supercells. with Matthew Mahalik and Kimberly Elmore.
• 3:30-3:45 p.m: 14A.1: Sensitivity Experiments Assessing Ensemble Forecast Reliability for the 16 May 2017 Western Oklahoma Severe Weather Outbreak: Current Status of NSSL’s “Warn on Forecast” Storm-Scale Prediction System. with Dustan Wheatley, Kent Knopfmeier, Jessica Choate, Patrick Skinner and Thomas Jones.
• 3:45-4 p.m.: 14A.2: Interpretations of Ensemble-based Forecast Guidance from the 2017 Spring Experiment Survey with Jessica Choate, Kimberly Klockow, Patrick Skinner and Katie Wilson.
• 4-4:15 p.m.: 14B.3: Agile postprocessing: towards user centered ensemble information extraction and visualization with James Correia, Chris Karstens, Kent Knopfmeier and Dustan Wheatley.
• 4:30-4:45 p.m.: 13.5: General Hail Occurrence Frequency in Convective Storms Using mPING Data with Kimberly Elmore.

To learn more about the conference, exhibitors and the programs, visit the website.